Continuing our look at each of the opponents the Ducks will face in
2012, today Duck Sports Authority brings to you a first look at the
first road game the Ducks will play in 2012. After four consecutive home
games to open the 2012 season, the Ducks will make their first road
trip to Seattle to play Washington State on September 29th next season.
This is a blessing in disguise as the Ducks will not likely have to face
the truly adverse weather conditions that can begin flying through
Eastern Washington in late October. A game in late September in Seattle
will make for an almost "neutral" feel as Duck fans are sure to travel
well to watch this game.
Once again a major storyline for the
Ducks will be the coaching change at Washington State. Former Duck
Athletic Director Bill Moos made what many considered a "home run" hire
when he was able to land former Texas Tech head coach Mike Leach as the
new Cougar head coach.
KEY STORYLINE:
Coaching change.
Mike Leach comes to Washington State with some baggage having gone
through a very public, bitter divorce from his previous coaching
position. Nonetheless, Leach did not forget how to coach in his time
away from the field. Leach will bring an exciting brand of football to
the Pac-12 with his aerial assault offense. Making the transition easier
will be that there are some effective weapons that Leach will have at
his disposal.
OFFENSE OVERVIEW:
Returning Starters: 7
Key returners: Jeff Tuel, 6-3, 217, QB; Rickey Galvin, 5-8, 172, RB; Marquess Wilson, 6-4, 183, WR
Key Losses: Marshall Lobbestael, QB; Jared Karstetter, WR; B.J. Guerra, Guard
Key Arrivals: Gabriel Marks, 6-0, 175, WR, Venice High School
Mike
Leach will need an experienced quarterback to pick up his high octane
offense. Many would think losing a senior starter that completed 61% of
his passes for over 2500 yards would be a loss, but Lobbestael started
mostly as a replacement for the oft-injured Jeff Tuel. If Tuel can stay
healthy, that should give Leach a quarterback he can trust to run the
system. If Tuel is unable to stay healthy again, returning redshirt
sophomore Connor Halliday showed promise in his late season appearances
last season.
One of the great benefits Leach will have is an
incredible receiver in Wilson who caught 82 passes for 1388 yards and 12
touchdowns during his sophomore season. Karstetter was a very reliable
possession receiver and he will be missed by this offense. Gabriel Marks
is the only Rivals 100 player signed by the Cougars in 2012 and he has a
chance to come into Leach's aerial attack and make some plays.
Though
Leach is known for his passing attack, he has a capable running back
that fits the mold he played at Texas Tech as well. Galvin led the
Cougars in 2011 with 602 yards on 5.3 yards per carry. Galvin's back-up,
Carl Winston (5-8, 200) also returns for the Cougars.
The
offensive line was a definite weak spot for the team last season as they
gave up 39 sacks for the year. Even with Leach's quick passing attack,
the line will need to play better if they expect success in their first
season under Leach.
Early Offense Prediction: Mike Leach
will look very heavily at the film from Oregon-USC in 2011 and feel
inspired by the possibilities. If he can get a second and third weapon
to try and overwhelm a still young secondary, Leach will feel very
confident that the Cougars can score some points on the Ducks.
Washington State will be looking for an early season upset of a top 5
team and will look to the air to get it done. Expect a lot of quick out
passes early with Wilson then stretching the field. The Cougars will be
even more prolific through the air this year than in 2011 and will put
up plenty of passing yards. However, they will likely struggle in the
red-zone as the field shrinks and the experienced Duck defense begins to
tighten the clamps.
DEFENSE OVERVIEW:
Returning Starters: 9
Key returners: Travis Long, 6-4, 256, Senior, DE; Anthony Laurenzi, 6-3, 287, Senior, DT; Damante Horton, 5-10, 174, Junior, CB
Key Losses: Alex Hoffman-Ellis, LB; Brandon Rankin, DT
Key Arrivals: Ioane Gauta, DT, 6-4, 300, Fullerton C.C.
The
Cougars return most of their starters from 2011, but is that a good
thing for a team that allowed nearly 410 yards per game and 32 points
per game? The team gave up more than 450 yards in five different games
including 453 to Idaho State in the opener. A new defensive coordinator
is sure to shake up what the Cougars have been doing, but there are some
good pieces to work with for Mike Breske.
Returning for the
Cougars is their best pass rusher, Travis Long, who accounted for 42
total tackles last season, but led the team in tackles for loss (12) and
sacks (4) last season. The entire defensive backfield returns including
Damante Horton who picked off 4 passes for the Cougars last season, one
of which he returned for a touchdown.
Defensive Coordinator Mike
Breske has a history of successful defenses at the FCS level with
incredible success at Montana. He also served as a defensive coordinator
for Wyoming and had very strong defenses during his tenure there as
well. He has seen a lot of success wherever he has been, but this will
be his first position at a BCS conference school.
Early Defense Prediction:
Washington State had some surprising success against the Ducks in 2011,
yet still gave up 454 yards of total offense. The team does not lose
much and will have a very good defensive coach guiding them. Look for
the Cougars to attack the Ducks much the same way Cal did in 2010 trying
to make the Ducks beat them through the air. Bryan Bennett will not
have faced a stiff defense heading into his fifth game in 2012. However,
as with many opponents, Washington State lacks the type of speed needed
to play four quarters against the Ducks. The Cougars will have some
success early, but will be susceptible to the "big play" as the second
and third quarters roll around. Also expect after two lackluster
performances in a row against WSU that Coach Kelly will have this team
prepared for a fired up Cougar team. The Ducks should be able to score
and move the ball against the Cougars and their pace should cause the
Cougars to wear down by the 4th quarter.
OREGON WILL WIN IF:
Mike Leach will bring a complex offense to the Cougars. The Ducks
defense will be experienced and even deeper in 2012 than they were over
the last two seasons. If the Ducks defense creates pressure and
confusion for Jeff Tuel, it could spell a long day for the Cougars. The
offense should be at full throttle by this game. If the defense helps
out with early turnovers, the Ducks will roll. Even without turnovers,
the Ducks should be able to contain the offense and run wild on a
defense not equipped to handle the Ducks speed and depth on offense.
OREGON WILL LOSE IF:
The Ducks will be facing a kind of passing attack it has not seen in
quite some time. It cannot compare to what USC was last season as the
Cougars do not have that kind of talent. If the defensive backs lapse on
their assignments and begin to give up larger chunks of yardage, then
the Cougars could give the Ducks all they can handle. WSU will need big
plays on offense and turnovers on defense to pull the upset. Oregon must
play crisp on offense and disciplined on defense or this is a game that
could knock the Ducks from the national title hunt.
PREDICTED OUTCOME:
Unlike the last two seasons, the Ducks will be prepared for an improved
WSU team that will pose some challenges on both sides of the ball. The
Ducks should be able to roll out of Seattle with a comfortable victory
over the Cougars.
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